Developing a More Accurate FIFA Ranking (2019)
Because high-level decisions in international men’s football are made in regard to the FIFA Men’s Ranking, we suggest that FIFA adopt a more accurate ranking method than the one it employed until 2018. After testing several ranking methods in terms of their predictive accuracy, we developed two models that perform better than any models that have been tested on international football to date. At the same time, our models strike a proper balance between power and simplicity.